Ireland 1st Division (Ireland) · Fri, Sep 18 · 18:45 · Wexford FC vs Cobh Ramblers FC
Likeliest: Wexford FC win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. The market says 42%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wexford FC39%42%−3
OursMarket
Draw31%28%+3
OursMarket
Cobh Ramblers FC30%30%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | 57% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 70% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | 58% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | 72% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | 59% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.1 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wexford FC
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Sep 11 · v Finn Harps (H)1-3
- Sep 4 · at Treaty United FC (A)1-0
- Aug 28 · at Cork City (A)0-2
- Aug 21 · v Athlone Town (H)0-2
- Aug 7 · at University College Dublin (A)1-4
Cobh Ramblers FC
WinWinDrawDrawWin
- Sep 11 · at Cork City (A)3-2
- Sep 4 · v University College Dublin (H)1-1
- Aug 28 · v Longford Town (H)2-2
- Aug 21 · at Finn Harps (A)3-1
- Aug 7 · v Treaty United FC (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Wexford FC | Cobh Ramblers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-3 | 2-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.