Austrian Bundesliga (Austria) · Sat, Sep 12 · 17:30 · Wolfsberger AC vs SK Rapid Wien
Likeliest: SK Rapid Wien win · 59%
A tight one: we make it 59% for the away win. The market says 56%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolfsberger AC18%21%−3
OursMarket
Draw23%23%+1
OursMarket
SK Rapid Wien59%56%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 41% | 44% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 82% | 79% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 77% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.9 | 2.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolfsberger AC
WinDrawLossDrawLoss
- Sep 1 · v LASK (H)1-3
- Aug 29 · at Grazer AK 1902 (A)0-0
- Aug 15 · at SC Austria Lustenau (A)1-2
- Aug 9 · v Red Bull Salzburg (H)1-1
- Aug 2 · v Austria Wien (H)3-0
SK Rapid Wien
WinDrawDrawWinLoss
- Sep 2 · at Red Bull Salzburg (A)1-5
- Aug 30 · v SK Sturm Graz (H)3-1
- Aug 26 · v Hearts (H)1-1
- Aug 20 · at Hearts (A)2-2
- Aug 16 · v Grazer AK 1902 (H)8-0
| Last 10 games | Wolfsberger AC | SK Rapid Wien |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-6-1 | 3-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.