Championship (England) · Fri, Aug 14 · 19:00 · Wolverhampton vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: Wolverhampton win · 37%
A 34% away win. The market says 16%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolverhampton37%61%−24
OursMarket
Draw29%23%+6
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers34%16%+18
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 53% | −8 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 51% | −3 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 84% | −18 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 39% | +24 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 77% | −6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | 80% | −27 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton
LossDrawDrawDrawWin
- Aug 7 · v Port Vale (H)3-0
- May 24 · at Burnley (A)1-1
- May 24 · at Burnley (A)1-1
- May 17 · v Fulham (H)1-1
- May 9 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)0-3
Blackburn Rovers
LossDrawWinLossWin
- Aug 8 · at Burton Albion (A)2-1
- May 2 · v Leicester City (H)0-1
- Apr 22 · at Sheffield United (A)3-1
- Apr 17 · v Coventry City (H)1-1
- Apr 14 · at Southampton (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-5-4 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.