Championship (England) · Sun, Sep 20 · 11:00 · Wolverhampton vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: Wolverhampton win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. The market says 52%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolverhampton52%52%0
OursMarket
Draw26%26%0
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion22%22%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 51% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | 53% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 78% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | 48% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 74% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 71% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton
WinLossDrawWinLoss
- Sep 16 · at Everton (A)0-1
- Sep 13 · at Sheffield United (A)1-0
- Sep 6 · at Birmingham City (A)2-2
- Sep 1 · at West Ham United (A)2-4
- Aug 29 · v Stoke City (H)4-1
West Bromwich Albion
LossDrawWinWinDraw
- Sep 12 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-1
- Sep 9 · at Derby County (A)1-0
- Sep 5 · v Watford (H)1-0
- Sep 2 · v Charlton Athletic (H)1-1
- Aug 29 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.