Premier League (England) · Sat, Jan 31 · 15:00 · Wolverhampton Wanderers vs AFC Bournemouth
Likeliest: Wolverhampton Wanderers win · 39%
We make it 64% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 55%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolverhampton Wanderers39%31%+7
OursMarket
Draw27%27%+1
OursMarket
AFC Bournemouth34%42%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 55% | +9 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 59% | +8 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 58% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | 69% | −7 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | 43% | +10 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WinDrawWinDrawLoss
- Jan 24 · at Manchester City (A)0-2
- Jan 18 · v Newcastle United (H)0-0
- Jan 10 · v Shrewsbury Town (H)6-1
- Jan 7 · at Everton (A)1-1
- Jan 3 · v West Ham United (H)3-0
AFC Bournemouth
LossWinDrawDrawWin
- Jan 24 · v Liverpool (H)3-2
- Jan 19 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-1
- Jan 10 · at Newcastle United (A)3-3
- Jan 7 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)3-2
- Jan 3 · v Arsenal (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton Wanderers | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 2-6-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-6 | 0-6-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Wolverhampton Wanderers form·AFC Bournemouth form·Head-to-head record