Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 1 · 17:30 · Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Aston Villa
Likeliest: Wolverhampton Wanderers win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Wolverhampton Wanderers37%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Aston Villa35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Jan 25 · v Arsenal (H)0-1
- Jan 20 · at Chelsea (A)1-3
- Jan 15 · at Newcastle United (A)0-3
- Jan 11 · at Bristol City (A)2-1
- Jan 6 · v Nottingham Forest (H)0-3
Aston Villa
WinDrawLossDrawWin
- Jan 29 · v Celtic (H)4-2
- Jan 26 · v West Ham United (H)1-1
- Jan 21 · at Monaco (A)0-1
- Jan 18 · at Arsenal (A)2-2
- Jan 15 · at Everton (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-0-4 | 4-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Wolverhampton Wanderers form·Aston Villa form·Head-to-head record