Premier League (England) · Sat, Dec 20 · 15:00 · Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brentford
Likeliest: Brentford win · 40%
A 34% home win. The market says 27%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolverhampton Wanderers34%27%+8
OursMarket
Draw26%28%−2
OursMarket
Brentford40%45%−6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 48% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | 55% | +5 |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | 73% | −8 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 72% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | 37% | +9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Dec 13 · at Arsenal (A)1-2
- Dec 8 · v Manchester United (H)1-4
- Dec 3 · v Nottingham Forest (H)0-1
- Nov 30 · at Aston Villa (A)0-1
- Nov 22 · v Crystal Palace (H)0-2
Brentford
WinLossLossDrawLoss
- Dec 17 · at Manchester City (A)0-2
- Dec 14 · v Leeds United (H)1-1
- Dec 6 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)0-2
- Dec 3 · at Arsenal (A)0-2
- Nov 29 · v Burnley (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-0-10 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-7 | 3-0-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Wolverhampton Wanderers form·Brentford form·Head-to-head record