EFL Cup (England) · Wed, Oct 29 · 19:45 · Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Chelsea
Likeliest: Chelsea win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Wolverhampton Wanderers33%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Chelsea41%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 45% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WinDrawDrawLossLoss
- Oct 26 · v Burnley (H)2-3
- Oct 18 · at Sunderland (A)0-2
- Oct 5 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)1-1
- Sep 27 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)1-1
- Sep 23 · v Everton (H)2-0
Chelsea
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 25 · v Sunderland (H)1-2
- Oct 22 · v Ajax (H)5-1
- Oct 18 · at Nottingham Forest (A)3-0
- Oct 4 · v Liverpool (H)2-1
- Sep 30 · v Benfica (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 6-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.