Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 7 · 15:00 · Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Chelsea
Likeliest: Chelsea win · 50%
We make it 63% for both teams to score. The market says 55%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolverhampton Wanderers27%20%+7
OursMarket
Draw23%23%0
OursMarket
Chelsea50%57%−7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 56% | +5 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 55% | +8 |
| Double chance 1X | 50% | 43% | +7 |
| Double chance X2 | 73% | 80% | −7 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 35% | 26% | +9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
DrawWinDrawLossLoss
- Jan 31 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)0-2
- Jan 24 · at Manchester City (A)0-2
- Jan 18 · v Newcastle United (H)0-0
- Jan 10 · v Shrewsbury Town (H)6-1
- Jan 7 · at Everton (A)1-1
Chelsea
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Feb 3 · at Arsenal (A)0-1
- Jan 31 · v West Ham United (H)3-2
- Jan 28 · at Napoli (A)3-2
- Jan 25 · at Crystal Palace (A)3-1
- Jan 21 · v Pafos FC (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-7 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Wolverhampton Wanderers form·Chelsea form·Head-to-head record