Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 22 · 15:00 · Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Crystal Palace
Likeliest: Crystal Palace win · 51%
We make it 63% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 47%.
16 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolverhampton Wanderers26%22%+4
OursMarket
Draw23%27%−4
OursMarket
Crystal Palace51%51%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 47% | +16 |
| Double chance 1X | 49% | 49% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 74% | 78% | −4 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 73% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 34% | 30% | +3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Nov 8 · at Chelsea (A)0-3
- Nov 1 · at Fulham (A)0-3
- Oct 29 · v Chelsea (H)3-4
- Oct 26 · v Burnley (H)2-3
- Oct 18 · at Sunderland (A)0-2
Crystal Palace
LossWinWinWinDraw
- Nov 9 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)0-0
- Nov 6 · v AZ (H)3-1
- Nov 1 · v Brentford (H)2-0
- Oct 29 · at Liverpool (A)3-0
- Oct 26 · at Arsenal (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-7 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-6 | 5-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Wolverhampton Wanderers form·Crystal Palace form·Head-to-head record