Premier League (England) · Sun, May 17 · 14:00 · Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Fulham
Likeliest: Wolverhampton Wanderers win · 41%
A 41% home win. The market says 26%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolverhampton Wanderers41%26%+15
OursMarket
Draw25%25%0
OursMarket
Fulham34%50%−15
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 55% | −2 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 57% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 50% | +15 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 74% | −15 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | 34% | +20 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- May 9 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)0-3
- May 2 · v Sunderland (H)1-1
- Apr 25 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)0-1
- Apr 18 · at Leeds United (A)0-3
- Apr 10 · at West Ham United (A)0-4
Fulham
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- May 9 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)0-1
- May 2 · at Arsenal (A)0-3
- Apr 25 · v Aston Villa (H)1-0
- Apr 18 · at Brentford (A)0-0
- Apr 11 · at Liverpool (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Wolverhampton Wanderers form·Fulham form·Head-to-head record