Premier League (England) · Sat, Apr 25 · 14:00 · Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Tottenham Hotspur
Likeliest: Wolverhampton Wanderers win · 38%
A 38% home win. The market says 21%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolverhampton Wanderers38%21%+17
OursMarket
Draw26%24%+2
OursMarket
Tottenham Hotspur36%56%−20
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 56% | +3 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 56% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 44% | +20 |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | 79% | −17 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 76% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 27% | +24 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WinLossDrawLossLoss
- Apr 18 · at Leeds United (A)0-3
- Apr 10 · at West Ham United (A)0-4
- Mar 16 · at Brentford (A)2-2
- Mar 6 · v Liverpool (H)1-3
- Mar 3 · v Liverpool (H)2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
DrawWinLossLossDraw
- Apr 18 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)2-2
- Apr 12 · at Sunderland (A)0-1
- Mar 22 · v Nottingham Forest (H)0-3
- Mar 18 · v Atlético Madrid (H)3-2
- Mar 15 · at Liverpool (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 1-2-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.