Premier League (England) · Sat, Jan 3 · 15:00 · Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Ham United
Likeliest: Wolverhampton Wanderers win · 40%
We make it 54% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 47%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wolverhampton Wanderers40%37%+3
OursMarket
Draw24%29%−5
OursMarket
West Ham United35%34%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 47% | +8 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 53% | +7 |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | 66% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | 63% | −3 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 71% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | 53% | 0 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
LossLossLossLossDraw
- Dec 30 · at Manchester United (A)1-1
- Dec 27 · at Liverpool (A)1-2
- Dec 20 · v Brentford (H)0-2
- Dec 13 · at Arsenal (A)1-2
- Dec 8 · v Manchester United (H)1-4
West Ham United
DrawLossLossLossDraw
- Dec 30 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)2-2
- Dec 27 · v Fulham (H)0-1
- Dec 20 · at Manchester City (A)0-3
- Dec 14 · v Aston Villa (H)2-3
- Dec 7 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Wolverhampton Wanderers | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-1-9 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-8 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Wolverhampton Wanderers form·West Ham United form·Head-to-head record