League One (England) · Thu, Jan 23 · 20:00 · Wrexham vs Birmingham City
Likeliest: Wrexham win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Wrexham47%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Birmingham City28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wrexham
LossWinLoss
- Jan 16 · at Shrewsbury Town (A)1-2
- Jan 4 · v Peterborough United (H)1-0
- Jan 1 · at Barnsley (A)1-2
Birmingham City
DrawWinWinWin
- Jan 18 · v Exeter City (H)1-0
- Jan 11 · v Lincoln City (H)2-1
- Jan 4 · at Wigan Athletic (A)3-0
- Jan 1 · at Stockport County (A)1-1