Championship (England) · Fri, Oct 31 · 20:00 · Wrexham vs Coventry City
Likeliest: Wrexham win · 48%
A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Wrexham48%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Coventry City27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wrexham
DrawLossWinDrawLoss
- Oct 28 · v Cardiff City (H)1-2
- Oct 25 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-1
- Oct 22 · v Oxford United (H)1-0
- Oct 18 · at Stoke City (A)0-1
- Oct 3 · v Birmingham City (H)1-1
Coventry City
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 25 · v Watford (H)3-1
- Oct 21 · at Portsmouth (A)2-1
- Oct 18 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)2-0
- Oct 4 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)5-0
- Oct 1 · at Millwall (A)4-0
| Last 10 games | Wrexham | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 6-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.