League One (England) · Tue, Sep 1 · 18:45 · Wycombe Wanderers vs Sheffield Wednesday
Likeliest: Wycombe Wanderers win · 58%
A tight one: we make it 58% for the home win. The market says 37%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wycombe Wanderers58%37%+21
OursMarket
Draw24%26%−2
OursMarket
Sheffield Wednesday18%37%−19
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 55% | −2 |
| Both teams score | 44% | 59% | −15 |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | 63% | +19 |
| Double chance X2 | 42% | 63% | −21 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 74% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 76% | 50% | +26 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wycombe Wanderers
LossDrawDrawDrawLoss
- Aug 29 · at Stockport County (A)1-5
- Aug 22 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)1-1
- Aug 18 · at Reading (A)1-1
- Aug 15 · at Blackpool (A)1-1
- Aug 7 · v Stevenage (H)1-2
Sheffield Wednesday
WinWinLossLossWin
- Aug 29 · v Bromley (H)7-2
- Aug 25 · v Wolverhampton (H)0-2
- Aug 20 · v Bradford City (H)0-1
- Aug 15 · at Leyton Orient (A)2-1
- Aug 8 · v Bolton Wanderers (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Wycombe Wanderers | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | 1-1-8 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.