Botola Pro (Morocco) · Sun, Oct 11 · 20:00 · Wydad Casablanca vs CODM Meknès
Likeliest: Wydad Casablanca win · 60%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 60% for the home win. The market says 59%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Wydad Casablanca60%59%+1
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
CODM Meknès14%16%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 44% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 49% | 45% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 86% | 84% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 40% | 41% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 81% | 78% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Wydad Casablanca
LossLossLossLossWin
- Oct 3 · at Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi (A)2-0
- Sep 26 · v Widad Temara (H)1-3
- Jul 5 · v Union Touarga Sport (H)1-2
- Jul 5 · v UTS Rabat (H)1-2
- Jul 2 · at RS Berkane (A)0-2
CODM Meknès
WinWinLossWinLoss
- Oct 3 · v Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (H)0-1
- Sep 26 · at Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi (A)6-2
- Jul 5 · at Ittihad Tanger (A)1-2
- Jul 2 · v AS FAR Rabat (H)3-2
- Jul 2 · v FAR Rabat (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | Wydad Casablanca | CODM Meknès |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-0-9 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-0-9 | 1-3-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.