J2 League (Japan) · Tue, Nov 3 · 05:00 · Yokohama FC vs Blaublitz Akita
Likeliest: Yokohama FC win · 55%
Likely scores: 1–0 13% · 2–1 12% · 1–1 11%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. The market says 54%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Yokohama FC55%54%+1
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
Blaublitz Akita19%21%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 49% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | 79% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | 46% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | 72% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Yokohama FC
LossWinWinDrawWin
- Oct 31 · at Tokushima Vortis (A)1-0
- Oct 24 · at RB Omiya Ardija (A)2-2
- Oct 21 · at Ventforet Kofu (A)3-0
- Oct 17 · at Tochigi City FC (A)1-0
- Oct 10 · v Oita Trinita (H)1-2
Blaublitz Akita
LossLossLossWinDraw
- Oct 31 · v Fujieda MYFC (H)1-1
- Oct 25 · v FC Imabari (H)1-0
- Oct 21 · at Tegevajaro Miyazaki (A)1-2
- Oct 17 · at Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (A)0-1
- Oct 11 · at Iwaki FC (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Yokohama FC | Blaublitz Akita |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-1 | 0-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.