Canadian Premier League (Canada) · Sun, Oct 25 · 20:00 · York United FC vs Atlético Ottawa
Likeliest: Atlético Ottawa win · 40%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 40% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
York United FC39%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Atlético Ottawa40%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.0 | 2.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
York United FC
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Oct 16 · at FC Supra Du Quebec (A)0-3
- Oct 12 · at Forge FC (A)0-5
- Oct 7 · v FC Supra Du Quebec (H)1-2
- Oct 3 · v Cavalry FC (H)3-1
- Sep 27 · v Pacific FC (H)3-4
Atlético Ottawa
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 17 · v Forge FC (H)1-2
- Oct 11 · at Pacific FC (A)2-0
- Sep 30 · v Cavalry FC (H)3-2
- Sep 26 · at HFX Wanderers FC (A)1-0
- Sep 20 · v FC Supra Du Quebec (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | York United FC | Atlético Ottawa |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 4-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.