Canadian Premier League (Canada) · Sat, Oct 3 · 16:00 · York United FC vs Cavalry FC
Likeliest: Cavalry FC win · 73%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 73% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
York United FC11%——
OursMarket
Draw16%——
OursMarket
Cavalry FC73%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 27% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 89% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 84% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 13% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.0 | 2.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
York United FC
DrawWinLossDrawLoss
- Sep 27 · v Pacific FC (H)3-4
- Sep 24 · at Vancouver FC (A)3-3
- Sep 20 · at HFX Wanderers FC (A)1-4
- Sep 13 · v Vancouver FC (H)3-1
- Sep 9 · v Pacific FC (H)3-3
Cavalry FC
WinWinDrawDrawLoss
- Sep 30 · at Atlético Ottawa (A)2-3
- Sep 26 · v FC Supra Du Quebec (H)0-0
- Sep 19 · v Forge FC (H)1-1
- Sep 13 · at Pacific FC (A)1-0
- Sep 7 · at HFX Wanderers FC (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | York United FC | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-5-3 | 6-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-4 | 4-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.