Canadian Premier League (Canada) · Wed, Oct 7 · 15:00 · York United FC vs FC Supra Du Quebec
Likeliest: FC Supra Du Quebec win · 48%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 48% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
York United FC31%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
FC Supra Du Quebec48%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 39% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.9 | 2.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
York United FC
WinLossDrawLossWin
- Oct 3 · v Cavalry FC (H)3-1
- Sep 27 · v Pacific FC (H)3-4
- Sep 24 · at Vancouver FC (A)3-3
- Sep 20 · at HFX Wanderers FC (A)1-4
- Sep 13 · v Vancouver FC (H)3-1
FC Supra Du Quebec
LossLossWinDrawWin
- Oct 4 · v Pacific FC (H)5-0
- Sep 26 · at Cavalry FC (A)0-0
- Sep 20 · at Atlético Ottawa (A)2-0
- Sep 12 · v HFX Wanderers FC (H)0-2
- Sep 6 · at Vancouver FC (A)2-3
| Last 10 games | York United FC | FC Supra Du Quebec |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-4 | 3-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.