Canadian Premier League (Canada) · Sun, Sep 27 · 18:00 · York United FC vs Pacific FC
Likeliest: York United FC win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
York United FC39%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Pacific FC38%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
York United FC
DrawDrawWinLossDraw
- Sep 24 · at Vancouver FC (A)3-3
- Sep 20 · at HFX Wanderers FC (A)1-4
- Sep 13 · v Vancouver FC (H)3-1
- Sep 9 · v Pacific FC (H)3-3
- Sep 5 · at Forge FC (A)1-1
Pacific FC
WinDrawDrawLossDraw
- Sep 20 · v Vancouver FC (H)1-1
- Sep 13 · v Cavalry FC (H)0-1
- Sep 9 · at York United FC (A)3-3
- Sep 5 · at Atlético Ottawa (A)0-0
- Aug 30 · v HFX Wanderers FC (H)4-3
| Last 10 games | York United FC | Pacific FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-5-3 | 1-5-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-3 | 0-5-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.