Swiss Super League (Switzerland) · Sat, Oct 24 · 18:30 · Young Boys vs FC St. Gallen 1879
Likeliest: Young Boys win · 52%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. The market says 53%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Young Boys52%53%−1
OursMarket
Draw22%22%0
OursMarket
FC St. Gallen 187926%25%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 70% | 73% | −4 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 75% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | 47% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 78% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 68% | −1 |
| Expected goals | 2.3 | 1.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Young Boys
DrawDrawWinWinWin
- Oct 18 · at AC Taverne (A)5-0
- Oct 11 · at Grasshopper Club Zürich (A)2-0
- Sep 19 · v Servette FC (H)3-2
- Sep 12 · at FC Lugano (A)2-2
- Sep 5 · v FC Luzern (H)3-3
FC St. Gallen 1879
LossLossWinWinWin
- Oct 16 · at FC Rapperswil-Jona (A)2-0
- Oct 11 · v FC Lausanne-Sport (H)1-0
- Sep 20 · at Basel (A)3-1
- Sep 16 · at FC Lugano (A)1-4
- Sep 12 · v FC Sion (H)0-3
| Last 10 games | Young Boys | FC St. Gallen 1879 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-4-0 | 4-0-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-5-1 | 5-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.