Swiss Super League (Switzerland) · Sat, Sep 19 · 16:00 · Young Boys vs Servette FC
Likeliest: Young Boys win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. The market says 54%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Young Boys56%54%+1
OursMarket
Draw21%22%−1
OursMarket
Servette FC23%24%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 70% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 68% | 67% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 76% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | 46% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 78% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 70% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 2.0 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Young Boys
WinDrawWinDrawDraw
- Sep 12 · at FC Lugano (A)2-2
- Sep 5 · v FC Luzern (H)3-3
- Sep 1 · at FC Zürich (A)4-2
- Aug 29 · v Basel (H)3-3
- Aug 23 · v FC Vaduz (H)4-2
Servette FC
DrawLossLossWinWin
- Sep 16 · at FC Thun (A)4-2
- Sep 13 · at FC Lausanne-Sport (A)1-0
- Sep 6 · v FC St. Gallen 1879 (H)0-2
- Sep 3 · at FC Lugano (A)0-1
- Aug 29 · v FC Luzern (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Young Boys | Servette FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-5-0 | 3-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-5-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.