Challenge League (Switzerland) · Sun, Sep 6 · 12:00 · Yverdon-Sport FC vs Stade Nyonnais
Likeliest: Yverdon-Sport FC win · 54%
We make it 48% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 35%.
14 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Yverdon-Sport FC54%67%−13
OursMarket
Draw22%19%+3
OursMarket
Stade Nyonnais24%14%+10
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 65% | −14 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 58% | −4 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 86% | −10 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 33% | +13 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 81% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 82% | −14 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Yverdon-Sport FC
DrawWinWinDrawWin
- Sep 1 · at Neuchâtel Xamax (A)2-1
- Aug 28 · v FC Wil 1900 (H)1-1
- Aug 23 · v FC Aarau (H)2-1
- Aug 7 · at SC Kriens (A)2-0
- Jul 31 · v Étoile Carouge FC (H)1-1
Stade Nyonnais
LossLossDrawLossDraw
- Sep 1 · v FC Winterthur (H)2-2
- Aug 28 · at SC Kriens (A)0-3
- Aug 21 · v Étoile Carouge FC (H)0-0
- Aug 7 · at FC Aarau (A)1-2
- Jul 31 · v FC Rapperswil-Jona (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Yverdon-Sport FC | Stade Nyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-0 | 0-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.