Premier League (Egypt) · Mon, Aug 31 · 17:00 · Zamalek SC vs Petrojet
Likeliest: Zamalek SC win · 52%
We make it 59% for both teams to score. The market says 49%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Zamalek SC52%55%−3
OursMarket
Draw24%26%−3
OursMarket
Petrojet25%19%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 45% | +6 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 49% | +10 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 81% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | 45% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 74% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | 74% | −7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Zamalek SC
DrawWin
- Aug 26 · at National Bank of Egypt (A)3-0
- Aug 21 · v Al-Ittihad Alexandria (H)0-0
Petrojet
WinLossLossDrawLoss
- Aug 26 · v Tala'ea El-Gaish (H)2-3
- Aug 22 · at Asyut Petroleum (A)1-1
- May 28 · v El Gouna FC (H)1-2
- May 28 · v El Gounah (H)1-2
- May 23 · at Haras El Hodood (A)3-0
| Last 10 games | Zamalek SC | Petrojet |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 70% |
| Both teams scored | — | 80% |
| Clean sheets | — | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-6-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.