Premier League (Egypt) · Fri, Aug 28 · 17:00 · ZED FC vs Al Ahly FC
Likeliest: ZED FC win · 47%
We make it 59% for both teams to score. The market says 44%.
14 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
ZED FC47%12%+35
OursMarket
Draw26%24%+2
OursMarket
Al Ahly FC27%63%−36
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 44% | +14 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 37% | +36 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 88% | −35 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 76% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 16% | +47 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ZED FC
DrawDrawDrawDrawDraw
- Aug 21 · at Wadi Degla (A)0-0
- May 29 · v Ismailia Electricity Club (H)1-1
- May 29 · v Kahraba Ismailia (H)1-1
- May 22 · at Wadi Degla (A)2-2
- May 17 · at Ismaily (A)0-0
Al Ahly FC
LossWinWinWinWin
- Aug 23 · v ENPPI (H)3-2
- May 20 · at Al Masry (A)2-0
- May 5 · v ENPPI (H)3-0
- May 1 · at Zamalek (A)3-0
- Apr 27 · at Pyramids FC (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | ZED FC | Al Ahly FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-6-1 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-5-1 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.