1. Lig. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    1. Lig · next 9

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Boluspor v Van Spor Futbol Kulübü
    Likeliest: Van Spor Futbol Kulübü win · 57%
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 18 percent
    Market probability, home win: 22 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 57 percent
    Market probability, away win: 53 percent
    —
    Ümraniyespor v Sivasspor
    Likeliest: Ümraniyespor win · 42%
    10:30
    Our probability, home win: 42 percent
    Market probability, home win: 43 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 29 percent
    Market probability, away win: 30 percent
    —
    Bandırmaspor v Iğdır FK
    Likeliest: Bandırmaspor win · 39%
    10:30
    Our probability, home win: 39 percent
    Market probability, home win: 41 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 30 percent
    Market probability, away win: 31 percent
    —
    Muğlaspor v İstanbulspor
    Likeliest: Muğlaspor win · 57%
    13:00
    Our probability, home win: 57 percent
    Market probability, home win: 55 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 18 percent
    Market probability, away win: 20 percent
    —
    Sarıyer v Fatih Karagümrük
    Likeliest: Sarıyer win · 36%
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 36 percent
    Market probability, home win: 38 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 35 percent
    Market probability, away win: 34 percent
    —
    Pendikspor v Kayserispor
    Likeliest: Kayserispor win · 53%
    10:30
    Our probability, home win: 20 percent
    Market probability, home win: 24 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 53 percent
    Market probability, away win: 50 percent
    —
    Batman Petrolspor v Esenler Erokspor
    Likeliest: Esenler Erokspor win · 41%
    10:30
    Our probability, home win: 31 percent
    Market probability, home win: 33 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 41 percent
    Market probability, away win: 39 percent
    —
    Antalyaspor v Bodrum FK
    Likeliest: Antalyaspor win · 47%
    13:00
    Our probability, home win: 47 percent
    Market probability, home win: 47 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: 25 percent
    —
    Keçiörengücü v Bursaspor
    Likeliest: Bursaspor win · 41%
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 29 percent
    Market probability, home win: 32 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 41 percent
    Market probability, away win: 40 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent 1. Lig results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    9
    Spots
    0
    Graded here
    51
    last 90 days
    Called right
    35%
    of 51

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    How the favourite fares in 1. Lig
    Favourite won
    51%
    Drawn
    25%
    Underdog won
    24%

    The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 257 matches we priced.

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Kayserispor11+1726
    2Bursaspor11+1325
    3Iğdır FK11+723
    4Keçiörengücü11+1020
    5Batman Petrolspor11+320
    6Mardin 1969 Spor11+418
    Full table →
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