2. Bundesliga. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
2. Bundesliga · next 8
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 32 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: 42 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 45 percent
Market probability, away win: 43 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 59 percent
Market probability, home win: 57 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 56 percent
Market probability, home win: 54 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 22 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 56 percent
Market probability, home win: 54 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: 24 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 25 percent
Market probability, away win: 26 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 32 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 45 percent
Market probability, away win: 43 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 43 percent
Market probability, home win: 43 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent 2. Bundesliga results
- Oct 18SG Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg2-0
- Oct 18Karlsruher SC v Darmstadt 984-0
- Oct 17Hannover 96 v FC St. Pauli1-1
- Oct 17SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Eintracht Braunschweig2-0
- Oct 17VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim3-1
- Oct 171. FC Kaiserslautern v VfL Bochum 18482-0
- Oct 16Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg1-1
- Oct 16Holstein Kiel v Hertha BSC0-0
- Oct 11VfL Bochum 1848 v Arminia Bielefeld0-1
- Oct 11Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth2-1
- Oct 11FC St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC2-0
- Oct 101. FC Nürnberg v VfL Wolfsburg4-4
- Oct 10Darmstadt 98 v Energie Cottbus3-1
- Oct 101. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 963-0
- Oct 9Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel1-0
- Oct 91. FC Heidenheim v 1. FC Kaiserslautern0-0
- Sep 20Energie Cottbus v FC St. Pauli1-1
- Sep 20Hannover 96 v VfL Bochum 18482-1
- Sep 20Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Heidenheim2-2
- Sep 19SG Dynamo Dresden v Hertha BSC1-2
- Sep 191. FC Kaiserslautern v Eintracht Braunschweig1-0
- Sep 18VfL Wolfsburg v Darmstadt 985-1
- Sep 18SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Magdeburg1-1
- Sep 13Karlsruher SC v Energie Cottbus0-3
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
8
Spots
0
Graded here
53
last 90 days
Called right
40%
of 53
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in 2. Bundesliga
Favourite won
47%
Drawn
28%
Underdog won
25%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 251 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 8 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 8 | +10 | 18 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 8 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 8 | +3 | 13 |
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