3. Liga. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
3. Liga · next 9
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 60 percent
Market probability, home win: 57 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 50 percent
Market probability, home win: 49 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 26 percent
Market probability, away win: 27 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 46 percent
Market probability, home win: 46 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: 29 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 45 percent
Market probability, home win: 45 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 62 percent
Market probability, home win: 59 percent
Our probability, draw: 19 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 26 percent
Market probability, home win: 29 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 50 percent
Market probability, away win: 46 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 17 percent
Market probability, home win: 21 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 64 percent
Market probability, away win: 58 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 43 percent
Market probability, home win: 44 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: 43 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 34 percent
Market probability, away win: 33 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent 3. Liga results
- Oct 18MSV Duisburg v FC Viktoria Köln1-1
- Oct 17FC Würzburger Kickers v SV Waldhof Mannheim2-0
- Oct 17Alemannia Aachen v F.C. Hansa Rostock2-0
- Oct 17SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v Preußen Münster3-2
- Oct 17Fortuna Düsseldorf v 1. FC Saarbrücken1-3
- Oct 14Preußen Münster v Fortuna Düsseldorf1-2
- Oct 11Alemannia Aachen v FC Viktoria Köln2-5
- Oct 9Preußen Münster v Rot-Weiss Essen3-3
- Sep 19Alemannia Aachen v Fortuna Düsseldorf1-0
- Sep 15FC Würzburger Kickers v Alemannia Aachen1-0
- Sep 12Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Würzburger Kickers6-2
- Sep 12Fortuna Düsseldorf v MSV Duisburg2-1
- Sep 5Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Viktoria Köln1-0
- Aug 30FC Viktoria Köln v Preußen Münster4-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
9
Spots
1
Graded here
14
last 90 days
Called right
43%
of 14
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 10 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 10 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | 1. FC Saarbrücken | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim II U23 | 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | F.C. Hansa Rostock | 10 | -2 | 15 |
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