Austrian Bundesliga. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Austrian Bundesliga · next 6
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 36 percent
Market probability, home win: 38 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 34 percent
Market probability, away win: 34 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 41 percent
Market probability, home win: 42 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 37 percent
Market probability, home win: 39 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 35 percent
Market probability, away win: 34 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 80 percent
Market probability, home win: 74 percent
Our probability, draw: 12 percent
Market probability, draw: 16 percent
Our probability, away win: 9 percent
Market probability, away win: 10 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 58 percent
Market probability, home win: 56 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 43 percent
Market probability, home win: 44 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 33 percent
Market probability, away win: 33 percent
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Austrian Bundesliga results
- Oct 18SK Sturm Graz v Grazer AK 19025-1
- Oct 18Red Bull Salzburg v SC Rheindorf Altach3-0
- Oct 18Wolfsberger AC v WSG Tirol0-2
- Oct 17SV Ried v Austria Wien3-2
- Oct 17SC Austria Lustenau v LASK0-4
- Oct 16SK Rapid Wien v TSV Hartberg3-1
- Oct 11LASK v SK Rapid Wien0-2
- Oct 11SC Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC3-0
- Oct 11TSV Hartberg v SC Austria Lustenau4-3
- Oct 10Austria Wien v SK Sturm Graz0-2
- Oct 10WSG Tirol v SV Ried1-2
- Oct 10Grazer AK 1902 v Red Bull Salzburg0-0
- Sep 20Red Bull Salzburg v SK Sturm Graz3-0
- Sep 20SV Ried v Wolfsberger AC4-1
- Sep 20TSV Hartberg v LASK3-3
- Sep 19Grazer AK 1902 v Austria Wien2-2
- Sep 19SC Austria Lustenau v SC Rheindorf Altach2-0
- Sep 18SK Rapid Wien v WSG Tirol3-0
- Sep 13SK Sturm Graz v LASK2-1
- Sep 13WSG Tirol v TSV Hartberg2-2
- Sep 13Austria Wien v SC Austria Lustenau2-1
- Sep 12Wolfsberger AC v SK Rapid Wien0-3
- Sep 12SC Rheindorf Altach v Grazer AK 19021-2
- Sep 11SV Ried v Red Bull Salzburg1-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
6
Spots
0
Graded here
51
last 90 days
Called right
57%
of 51
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Austrian Bundesliga
Favourite won
61%
Drawn
18%
Underdog won
20%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 49 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Rapid Wien | 9 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 9 | +17 | 21 |
| 3 | LASK | 9 | +14 | 19 |
| 4 | SK Sturm Graz | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | SV Ried | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | WSG Tirol | 9 | -2 | 11 |
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