Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División · next 18
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 31 percent
Market probability, home win: 34 percent
Our probability, draw: 31 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 38 percent
Market probability, away win: 37 percent
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Defensa y Justicia Reserve v Atletico Rafaela Reserve
Likeliest: Defensa y Justicia Reserve win · 58%
18:00spot · under 2.5
Our probability, home win: 58 percent
Market probability, home win: 56 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 18 percent
Market probability, away win: 20 percent
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Argentinos Juniors Reserve v Rosario Central Reserve
Likeliest: Rosario Central Reserve win · 39%
18:00
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 31 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 39 percent
Market probability, away win: 38 percent
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Newell's Old Boys Reserve v Platense Reserve
Likeliest: Newell's Old Boys Reserve win · 46%
18:00spot · under 2.5
Our probability, home win: 46 percent
Market probability, home win: 47 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: 24 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 37 percent
Market probability, home win: 39 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
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Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Reserve v CA Independiente Reserve
Likeliest: CA Independiente Reserve win · 49%
18:00
Our probability, home win: 22 percent
Market probability, home win: 26 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 49 percent
Market probability, away win: 47 percent
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Gimnasia y Esgrima Reserve v Talleres de Córdoba Reserve
Likeliest: Gimnasia y Esgrima Reserve win · 42%
18:00
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 35 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 27 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 32 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
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Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve v San Martin Reserve
Likeliest: Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve win · 51%
18:00
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 61 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 15 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 36 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 34 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 39 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 65 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 11 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 74 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 17 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 9 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 49 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 27 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 48 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 24 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 33 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 36 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 31 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División results
- Oct 15Central Cordoba Reserve v Belgrano Reserve1-2
- Oct 15Boca Juniors Reserve v Ferro Carril Oeste Reserve1-0
- Oct 15Talleres de Córdoba Reserve v Unión Santa Fe Reserve3-0
- Oct 15Vélez Sarsfield Reserve v Racing Reserve4-0
- Oct 15Barracas Central Reserve v Atlético Tucumán Reserve1-1
- Oct 15Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Reserve v Godoy Cruz Reserve0-0
- Oct 15San Lorenzo Reserve v Sarmiento Reserve1-1
- Oct 14Tigre Reserve v Argentinos Juniors Reserve0-1
- Oct 14Colón Reserve v Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve1-4
- Oct 14Platense Reserve v Defensa y Justicia Reserve0-1
- Oct 14San Martin Reserve v CD Riestra Reserve2-0
- Oct 14Rosario Central Reserve v Aldosivi Reserve1-1
- Oct 14Estudiantes de La Plata Reserve v Lanús Reserve4-4
- Oct 13Quilmes Reserve v Newell's Old Boys Reserve1-1
- Oct 13CA Independiente Reserve v Huracán Reserve3-0
- Oct 13Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves v River Plate Reserve3-2
- Oct 13Banfield Reserve v Gimnasia y Esgrima Reserve1-0
- Oct 13Atletico Rafaela Reserve v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Reserve1-1
- Oct 8Boca Juniors Reserve v Colón Reserve1-0
- Oct 8Godoy Cruz Reserve v Barracas Central Reserve0-0
- Oct 8Atlético Tucumán Reserve v Talleres de Córdoba Reserve2-0
- Oct 8Sarmiento Reserve v Vélez Sarsfield Reserve0-1
- Oct 8Belgrano Reserve v San Martin Reserve3-2
- Oct 8Lanús Reserve v Central Cordoba Reserve3-0
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
18
Spots
2
Graded here
67
last 90 days
Called right
39%
of 67
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División
Favourite won
39%
Drawn
37%
Underdog won
24%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 67 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Independiente Reserve | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 | Lanús Reserve | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors Reserve | 13 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 | Belgrano Reserve | 13 | +3 | 25 |
| 5 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Reserve | 13 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 | Vélez Sarsfield Reserve | 13 | +12 | 23 |
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