Eerste Divisie. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Eerste Divisie · next 10
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 43 percent
Market probability, home win: 43 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 33 percent
Market probability, away win: 32 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 25 percent
Market probability, away win: 26 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 37 percent
Market probability, home win: 39 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: 36 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 41 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 34 percent
Market probability, away win: 34 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 60 percent
Market probability, home win: 57 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 38 percent
Market probability, home win: 40 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 38 percent
Market probability, away win: 37 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 63 percent
Market probability, home win: 60 percent
Our probability, draw: 19 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 18 percent
Market probability, away win: 19 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 40 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 33 percent
Market probability, away win: 33 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 55 percent
Market probability, home win: 53 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 23 percent
Market probability, away win: 25 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 28 percent
Market probability, home win: 31 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 47 percent
Market probability, away win: 45 percent
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Eerste Divisie results
- Oct 19Jong Ajax v De Graafschap2-1
- Oct 19Jong PSV Eindhoven v FC Dordrecht0-1
- Oct 19Jong FC Utrecht Youth v Roda JC Kerkrade1-2
- Oct 18MVV Maastricht v Heracles Almelo1-5
- Oct 18RKC Waalwijk v FC Volendam1-1
- Oct 17FC Emmen v Almere City FC2-1
- Oct 16VVV-Venlo v Jong AZ Alkmaar4-4
- Oct 16FC Eindhoven v Vitesse0-1
- Oct 16Helmond Sport v NAC Breda0-2
- Oct 16FC Den Bosch v TOP Oss2-1
- Oct 9Heracles Almelo v RKC Waalwijk3-0
- Oct 9FC Dordrecht v FC Emmen0-3
- Oct 9NAC Breda v MVV Maastricht1-0
- Oct 9TOP Oss v Helmond Sport3-1
- Oct 9Almere City FC v FC Eindhoven3-0
- Oct 9Jong AZ Alkmaar v FC Den Bosch0-1
- Oct 9Roda JC Kerkrade v Jong PSV Eindhoven1-1
- Oct 9FC Volendam v Vitesse2-0
- Oct 9Jong Ajax v VVV-Venlo0-3
- Oct 4VVV-Venlo v Roda JC Kerkrade2-0
- Oct 3FC Den Bosch v FC Dordrecht1-1
- Oct 3FC Eindhoven v De Graafschap2-2
- Oct 3Almere City FC v FC Volendam1-0
- Oct 3RKC Waalwijk v FC Emmen1-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
10
Spots
1
Graded here
90
last 90 days
Called right
56%
of 90
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Eerste Divisie
Favourite won
52%
Drawn
20%
Underdog won
28%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 308 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles Almelo | 11 | +23 | 28 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 11 | +15 | 23 |
| 3 | VVV-Venlo | 11 | +12 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 11 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 | Roda JC Kerkrade | 11 | +3 | 19 |
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