Ekstraklasa. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Ekstraklasa · next 9
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 45 percent
Market probability, home win: 45 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 28 percent
Market probability, away win: 29 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 35 percent
Market probability, home win: 37 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: 35 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 34 percent
Market probability, home win: 36 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 37 percent
Market probability, away win: 36 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 45 percent
Market probability, home win: 45 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 54 percent
Market probability, home win: 52 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 22 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 56 percent
Market probability, home win: 54 percent
Our probability, draw: 23 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: 42 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 50 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 24 percent
Market probability, away win: 25 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 33 percent
Market probability, home win: 35 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 40 percent
Market probability, away win: 38 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Ekstraklasa results
- Oct 18Lech Poznań v MKS Korona Kielce6-1
- Oct 18Zagłębie Lubin v Jagiellonia Białystok1-0
- Oct 18Górnik Zabrze v Piast Gliwice1-1
- Oct 17Cracovia v Legia Warszawa1-1
- Oct 17GKS Katowice v Pogoń Szczecin0-1
- Oct 17Motor Lublin v Śląsk Wrocław3-2
- Oct 16Widzew Łódź v Wisła Kraków0-0
- Oct 16Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa1-2
- Oct 12GKS Katowice v Wieczysta Kraków2-1
- Oct 12Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin2-3
- Oct 11Legia Warszawa v Wisła Kraków2-0
- Oct 11Pogoń Szczecin v MKS Korona Kielce2-0
- Oct 11Piast Gliwice v Widzew Łódź2-1
- Oct 10Jagiellonia Białystok v Górnik Zabrze1-3
- Oct 10Śląsk Wrocław v Lech Poznań1-4
- Oct 10Cracovia v Zagłębie Lubin3-1
- Oct 9Raków Częstochowa v GKS Katowice1-4
- Oct 9Wieczysta Kraków v Wisła Płock3-0
- Sep 20Lech Poznań v Radomiak Radom5-1
- Sep 20Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia Warszawa1-3
- Sep 20Zagłębie Lubin v Wisła Płock0-2
- Sep 20Piast Gliwice v Pogoń Szczecin1-2
- Sep 19Motor Lublin v Górnik Zabrze0-0
- Sep 19MKS Korona Kielce v Raków Częstochowa3-2
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
9
Spots
0
Graded here
78
last 90 days
Called right
49%
of 78
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Ekstraklasa
Favourite won
45%
Drawn
27%
Underdog won
29%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 251 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Górnik Zabrze | 11 | +10 | 26 |
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 10 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | +3 | 18 |
Read next