Ekstraklasa. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    Ekstraklasa · next 9

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Motor Lublin v Zagłębie Lubin
    Likeliest: Motor Lublin win · 45%
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 45 percent
    Market probability, home win: 45 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 28 percent
    Market probability, away win: 29 percent
    —
    Widzew Łódź v Górnik Zabrze
    Likeliest: Górnik Zabrze win · 36%
    18:30
    Our probability, home win: 35 percent
    Market probability, home win: 37 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —
    Piast Gliwice v Cracovia
    Likeliest: Cracovia win · 37%
    10:15
    Our probability, home win: 34 percent
    Market probability, home win: 36 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 37 percent
    Market probability, away win: 36 percent
    —
    MKS Korona Kielce v GKS Katowice
    Likeliest: MKS Korona Kielce win · 45%
    12:45
    Our probability, home win: 45 percent
    Market probability, home win: 45 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 29 percent
    Market probability, away win: 30 percent
    —
    Pogoń Szczecin v Radomiak Radom
    Likeliest: Pogoń Szczecin win · 54%
    15:30
    Our probability, home win: 54 percent
    Market probability, home win: 52 percent
    Our probability, draw: 24 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —
    Wisła Kraków v Raków Częstochowa
    Likeliest: Wisła Kraków win · 56%
    18:15
    Our probability, home win: 56 percent
    Market probability, home win: 54 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 23 percent
    Our probability, away win: 21 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —
    Śląsk Wrocław v Wieczysta Kraków
    Likeliest: Wieczysta Kraków win · 44%
    11:15
    Our probability, home win: 30 percent
    Market probability, home win: 33 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 44 percent
    Market probability, away win: 42 percent
    —
    Jagiellonia Białystok v Wisła Płock
    Likeliest: Jagiellonia Białystok win · 50%
    13:45
    Our probability, home win: 50 percent
    Market probability, home win: 50 percent
    Our probability, draw: 25 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 24 percent
    Market probability, away win: 25 percent
    —
    Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznań
    Likeliest: Lech Poznań win · 40%
    16:30
    Our probability, home win: 33 percent
    Market probability, home win: 35 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 40 percent
    Market probability, away win: 38 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent Ekstraklasa results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    9
    Spots
    0
    Graded here
    78
    last 90 days
    Called right
    49%
    of 78

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    How the favourite fares in Ekstraklasa
    Favourite won
    45%
    Drawn
    27%
    Underdog won
    29%

    The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 251 matches we priced.

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Górnik Zabrze11+1026
    2Lech Poznań10+1825
    3Legia Warszawa11+1323
    4Pogoń Szczecin10+921
    5GKS Katowice11+618
    6Wisła Kraków11+318
    Full table →
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