Europa Conference League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Europa Conference League · next 17
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 18 percent
Market probability, home win: 23 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 55 percent
Market probability, away win: 52 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 15 percent
Market probability, home win: 19 percent
Our probability, draw: 24 percent
Market probability, draw: 23 percent
Our probability, away win: 61 percent
Market probability, away win: 57 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 18 percent
Market probability, home win: 22 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 57 percent
Market probability, away win: 53 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 36 percent
Market probability, home win: 38 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: 35 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 65 percent
Market probability, home win: 63 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 14 percent
Market probability, away win: 16 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 53 percent
Market probability, home win: 53 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 19 percent
Market probability, away win: 20 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 70 percent
Market probability, home win: 67 percent
Our probability, draw: 19 percent
Market probability, draw: 20 percent
Our probability, away win: 11 percent
Market probability, away win: 13 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 54 percent
Market probability, home win: 54 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 19 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 8 percent
Market probability, home win: 12 percent
Our probability, draw: 18 percent
Market probability, draw: 18 percent
Our probability, away win: 74 percent
Market probability, away win: 70 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 12 percent
Market probability, home win: 16 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 64 percent
Market probability, away win: 60 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 31 percent
Market probability, home win: 34 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 40 percent
Market probability, away win: 39 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 46 percent
Market probability, home win: 46 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 26 percent
Market probability, away win: 27 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 31 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 43 percent
Market probability, away win: 41 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 61 percent
Market probability, home win: 58 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 18 percent
Market probability, away win: 19 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 54 percent
Market probability, home win: 53 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 44 percent
Market probability, home win: 45 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 31 percent
Market probability, away win: 31 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 7 percent
Market probability, home win: 11 percent
Our probability, draw: 17 percent
Market probability, draw: 18 percent
Our probability, away win: 76 percent
Market probability, away win: 70 percent
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Europa Conference League results
- Oct 15Hearts v FC Nordsjælland1-1
- Oct 15Sint-Truidense VV v FC Iberia 19992-0
- Oct 15SK Brann v Lincoln Red Imps2-1
- Oct 15Atalanta v Pafos FC3-1
- Oct 15FC Twente v FC Thun1-0
- Oct 15Brighton & Hove Albion v FK Kauno Žalgiris4-0
- Oct 15SC Freiburg v FK Jablonec3-2
- Oct 15FC København v Sporting Braga3-0
- Oct 15HNK Hajduk Split v AFC Ajax2-1
- Oct 15Mjällby v Inter Club d'Escaldes2-0
- Oct 15Panathinaikos v FK Borac Banja Luka2-1
- Oct 15Riga FC v Kairat1-1
- Oct 15KuPS v Trabzonspor2-4
- Oct 15FC Lugano v FK Crvena zvezda3-2
- Oct 15KAA Gent v AGF1-0
- Oct 15Universitatea Craiova v Getafe1-1
- Oct 15CSKA Sofia v AS Monaco1-2
- Aug 27FK Partizan v Getafe2-1
- Aug 27Larne FC v Lincoln Red Imps0-2
- Aug 27Hibernian v KAA Gent2-3
- Aug 27HNK Rijeka v FC Midtjylland1-4
- Aug 27Austria Wien v Sporting Braga0-0
- Aug 27Brighton & Hove Albion v Tromsø IL4-0
- Aug 27FK Borac Banja Luka v Víkingur Reykjavík0-0
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
17
Spots
2
Graded here
116
last 90 days
Called right
49%
of 116
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Europa Conference League
Favourite won
55%
Drawn
25%
Underdog won
20%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 201 matches we priced.
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