Israeli Premier League. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    Israeli Premier League · next 4

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Hapoel Jerusalem v Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Likeliest: Hapoel Tel Aviv win · 69%
    15:45spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 10 percent
    Market probability, home win: 15 percent
    Our probability, draw: 20 percent
    Market probability, draw: 21 percent
    Our probability, away win: 69 percent
    Market probability, away win: 65 percent
    —
    Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi Netanya
    Likeliest: Maccabi Netanya win · 63%
    16:00spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 15 percent
    Market probability, home win: 19 percent
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: 22 percent
    Our probability, away win: 63 percent
    Market probability, away win: 59 percent
    —
    Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Be'er Sheva
    Likeliest: Hapoel Be'er Sheva win · 47%
    16:00spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 30 percent
    Market probability, home win: 41 percent
    Our probability, draw: 24 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 47 percent
    Market probability, away win: 33 percent
    —
    Maccabi Tel Aviv v Hapoel Haifa
    Likeliest: Maccabi Tel Aviv win · 79%
    16:30spot · home
    Our probability, home win: 79 percent
    Market probability, home win: 74 percent
    Our probability, draw: 13 percent
    Market probability, draw: 15 percent
    Our probability, away win: 8 percent
    Market probability, away win: 10 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent Israeli Premier League results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    4
    Spots
    4
    Graded here
    22
    last 90 days
    Called right
    46%
    of 22

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Maccabi Haifa7+918
    2Maccabi Tel Aviv7+1217
    3Hapoel Tel Aviv7+1016
    4Hapoel Be'er Sheva7+416
    5Beitar Jerusalem7+213
    6Maccabi Netanya7+19
    Full table →
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