K League 1. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    K League 1 · next 6

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    FC Anyang v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
    Likeliest: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors win · 53%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 20 percent
    Market probability, home win: 24 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 53 percent
    Market probability, away win: 50 percent
    —
    Incheon United v Jeju SK
    Likeliest: Incheon United win · 39%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 39 percent
    Market probability, home win: 40 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 30 percent
    Our probability, away win: 29 percent
    Market probability, away win: 30 percent
    —
    FC Seoul v Gangwon FC
    Likeliest: FC Seoul win · 51%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 51 percent
    Market probability, home win: 51 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 21 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —
    Ulsan HD v Pohang Steelers
    Likeliest: Ulsan HD win · 47%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 47 percent
    Market probability, home win: 47 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 25 percent
    Market probability, away win: 27 percent
    —
    Bucheon FC 1995 v Gwangju FC
    Likeliest: Bucheon FC 1995 win · 43%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 43 percent
    Market probability, home win: 43 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 29 percent
    Market probability, away win: 29 percent
    —
    Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Daejeon Hana Citizen
    Likeliest: Daejeon Hana Citizen win · 47%
    05:00
    Our probability, home win: 25 percent
    Market probability, home win: 28 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 47 percent
    Market probability, away win: 45 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent K League 1 results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    6
    Spots
    0
    Graded here
    73
    last 90 days
    Called right
    41%
    of 73

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    How the favourite fares in K League 1
    Favourite won
    40%
    Drawn
    34%
    Underdog won
    26%

    The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 166 matches we priced.

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1FC Seoul17+1734
    2Daejeon Hana Citizen17+1030
    3Jeju SK17+728
    4Ulsan HD19+226
    5Pohang Steelers19-525
    6Gangwon FC17+123
    Full table →
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