La Liga 2. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
La Liga 2 · next 10
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 45 percent
Market probability, home win: 45 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 26 percent
Market probability, away win: 27 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 41 percent
Market probability, home win: 42 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 27 percent
Market probability, home win: 30 percent
Our probability, draw: 31 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 42 percent
Market probability, away win: 41 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 72 percent
Market probability, home win: 68 percent
Our probability, draw: 18 percent
Market probability, draw: 19 percent
Our probability, away win: 10 percent
Market probability, away win: 13 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 53 percent
Market probability, home win: 52 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 22 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 56 percent
Market probability, home win: 55 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 19 percent
Market probability, away win: 21 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 48 percent
Market probability, home win: 49 percent
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 20 percent
Market probability, away win: 22 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 42 percent
Market probability, home win: 43 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 22 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 66 percent
Market probability, home win: 63 percent
Our probability, draw: 21 percent
Market probability, draw: 21 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 15 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent La Liga 2 results
- Oct 18Real Valladolid v CD Eldense2-3
- Oct 18Girona FC v FC Andorra2-0
- Oct 18Granada v Cádiz2-0
- Oct 18AD Ceuta v Real Oviedo1-2
- Oct 17Las Palmas v CD Castellón0-3
- Oct 17Sporting Gijón v Albacete Balompié2-1
- Oct 17Eibar v Mallorca1-1
- Oct 17Real Sociedad B v Almería2-4
- Oct 16Leganés v Córdoba0-1
- Oct 12CD Tenerife v Girona FC1-1
- Oct 12Real Oviedo v Eibar3-1
- Oct 12Burgos Club de Fútbol v Granada0-1
- Oct 12Real Valladolid v Albacete Balompié5-0
- Oct 11Cádiz v Sporting Gijón0-1
- Oct 11Mallorca v Las Palmas3-1
- Oct 11Almería v Leganés3-0
- Oct 11FC Andorra v CD Castellón1-0
- Oct 10CD Eldense v Córdoba2-1
- Oct 5Córdoba v CD Tenerife3-2
- Oct 4Girona FC v Mallorca0-0
- Oct 4Las Palmas v Real Valladolid2-2
- Oct 4CD Castellón v AD Ceuta1-1
- Oct 3Cádiz v Leganés4-0
- Oct 3Almería v Burgos Club de Fútbol2-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
10
Spots
2
Graded here
81
last 90 days
Called right
51%
of 81
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in La Liga 2
Favourite won
52%
Drawn
22%
Underdog won
26%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 404 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almería | 10 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | CD Castellón | 10 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 | Eibar | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Sporting Gijón | 10 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Granada | 10 | +3 | 17 |
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