PredictionPitch

Liga MX. The honest number.

Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

Liga MX · next 18

1

X

2

Price

CD Guadalajara v Club Necaxa

Likeliest: CD Guadalajara win · 96%

00:07

96

94

3

4

1

2

—

FC Juárez v Atlante FC

Likeliest: FC Juárez win · 36%

01:00

36

38

29

27

35

35

—

Atlético San Luis v Querétaro FC

Likeliest: Atlético San Luis win · 39%

01:00

39

41

29

27

32

32

—

Tigres UANL v Club León

Likeliest: Tigres UANL win · 49%

03:00

49

49

27

26

24

25

—

Atlas FC v Club América

Likeliest: Club América win · 45%

01:00spot · under 2.5

26

30

29

27

45

43

—

Club Puebla v CF Monterrey

Likeliest: CF Monterrey win · 48%

01:00

24

28

28

26

48

46

—

CD Toluca v Club Tijuana

Likeliest: CD Toluca win · 68%

01:00spot · under 2.5

68

66

19

20

13

14

—

CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul

Likeliest: Cruz Azul win · 37%

03:00

34

37

29

27

37

37

—

Santos Laguna v Pumas UNAM

Likeliest: Pumas UNAM win · 36%

03:10spot · under 2.5

36

38

28

27

36

35

—

Club Necaxa v FC Juárez

Likeliest: Club Necaxa win · 49%

01:00spot · btts

49

48

27

26

25

26

—

Atlante FC v Atlético San Luis

Likeliest: Atlante FC win · 39%

03:00

39

40

27

26

34

34

—

Club León v CD Toluca

Likeliest: CD Toluca win · 46%

23:00

27

30

27

26

46

44

—

CF Monterrey v CD Guadalajara

Likeliest: CD Guadalajara win · 36%

01:00

35

37

29

27

36

36

—

Pumas UNAM v Tigres UANL

Likeliest: Tigres UANL win · 42%

03:00

29

32

30

28

42

41

—

Atlas FC v Club Puebla

Likeliest: Atlas FC win · 53%

00:00

53

52

28

27

20

21

—

Querétaro FC v Cruz Azul

Likeliest: Cruz Azul win · 46%

02:00

26

30

28

27

46

43

—

Club América v CF Pachuca

Likeliest: Club América win · 52%

02:00

52

51

27

26

21

23

—

Club Tijuana v Santos Laguna

Likeliest: Club Tijuana win · 47%

03:00

47

47

27

26

26

27

—

Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

Recent Liga MX results

Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

Fixtures priced

18

Spots

4

Graded here

89

last 90 days

Called right

36%

of 89

“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

How the favourite fares in Liga MX

Favourite won

45%

Drawn

27%

Underdog won

28%

The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 264 matches we priced.

Table · 2026/27

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Club América	11	+13	24
2	CD Toluca	12	+10	21
3	CD Guadalajara	12	+7	20
4	Cruz Azul	12	+6	20
5	Querétaro FC	11	+2	20
6	Atlas FC	12	0	19

Read next

What 1X2 actually means Over/under 2.5 goals, explained How we produce these numbers Our record, graded in public