National League South. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    National League South · next 2

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Chelmsford City v Tonbridge Angels
    Likeliest: Chelmsford City win · 56%
    14:00
    Our probability, home win: 56 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 18 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —
    Ebbsfleet United v Maidenhead United
    Likeliest: Ebbsfleet United win · 63%
    14:00
    Our probability, home win: 63 percent
    Market probability, home win: no number
    Our probability, draw: 20 percent
    Market probability, draw: no number
    Our probability, away win: 17 percent
    Market probability, away win: no number
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent National League South results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    2
    Spots
    0
    Graded here
    1
    last 90 days
    Called right
    100%
    of 1

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Ebbsfleet United3+129
    2Maidstone United2+26
    3Tonbridge Angels2+26
    4Folkestone Invicta2+14
    5Chelmsford City1+53
    6Torquay United1+43
    Full table →
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