Premier League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Premier League · next 6
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 68 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 24 percent
Market probability, home win: 28 percent
Our probability, draw: 32 percent
Market probability, draw: 29 percent
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: 43 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 19 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 36 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 45 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 84 percent
Market probability, home win: 79 percent
Our probability, draw: 11 percent
Market probability, draw: 14 percent
Our probability, away win: 6 percent
Market probability, away win: 7 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 16 percent
Market probability, home win: 20 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 59 percent
Market probability, away win: 55 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 51 percent
Market probability, home win: 50 percent
Our probability, draw: 28 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 21 percent
Market probability, away win: 23 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Premier League results
- Oct 18Polissya Zhytomyr v Dynamo Kyiv3-1
- Oct 18FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih v LNZ Cherkasy0-0
- Oct 17Shakhtar Donetsk v Kolos Kovalivka2-1
- Oct 17Kudrivka v Bukovyna Chernivtsi4-1
- Oct 17Zoria Luhansk v Chornomorets Odesa2-1
- Oct 11Bukovyna Chernivtsi v Polissya Zhytomyr2-2
- Oct 11Dynamo Kyiv v Karpaty Lviv1-0
- Oct 11LNZ Cherkasy v Kudrivka2-1
- Oct 10Chornomorets Odesa v Metalist 19251-2
- Oct 9Veres Rivne v Shakhtar Donetsk0-3
- Oct 3Veres Rivne v Kudrivka2-1
- Sep 20Shakhtar Donetsk v LNZ Cherkasy3-0
- Sep 20Karpaty Lviv v Veres Rivne1-1
- Sep 20Kudrivka v Kolos Kovalivka2-3
- Sep 19Zoria Luhansk v Dynamo Kyiv0-2
- Sep 18Polissya Zhytomyr v FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih1-0
- Sep 11Kolos Kovalivka v Karpaty Lviv0-2
- Sep 6Veres Rivne v Zoria Luhansk1-1
- Sep 6Dynamo Kyiv v LNZ Cherkasy0-0
- Sep 5Karpaty Lviv v Shakhtar Donetsk1-2
- Sep 5FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih v Kolos Kovalivka2-2
- Aug 30LNZ Cherkasy v Veres Rivne0-0
- Aug 29Shakhtar Donetsk v Polissya Zhytomyr0-2
- Aug 29FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv v Karpaty Lviv1-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
6
Spots
1
Graded here
40
last 90 days
Called right
58%
of 40
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Premier League
Favourite won
60%
Drawn
27%
Underdog won
13%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 166 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 9 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 9 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 8 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 | Karpaty Lviv | 9 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 | Zoria Luhansk | 9 | -1 | 14 |
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