Pro League. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Pro League · next 11
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 67 percent
Market probability, home win: 65 percent
Our probability, draw: 20 percent
Market probability, draw: 20 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 15 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 69 percent
Market probability, home win: 66 percent
Our probability, draw: 19 percent
Market probability, draw: 20 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 14 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 23 percent
Market probability, home win: 27 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 52 percent
Market probability, away win: 49 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 35 percent
Market probability, home win: 37 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 35 percent
Market probability, away win: 35 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: 25 percent
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: 42 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 70 percent
Market probability, home win: 67 percent
Our probability, draw: 18 percent
Market probability, draw: 19 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 14 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 5 percent
Market probability, home win: 9 percent
Our probability, draw: 12 percent
Market probability, draw: 15 percent
Our probability, away win: 82 percent
Market probability, away win: 76 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 49 percent
Market probability, home win: no number
Our probability, draw: 26 percent
Market probability, draw: no number
Our probability, away win: 25 percent
Market probability, away win: no number
—
Our probability, home win: 32 percent
Market probability, home win: 33 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 24 percent
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: 42 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 39 percent
Market probability, home win: 35 percent
Our probability, draw: 25 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 36 percent
Market probability, away win: 39 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 30 percent
Market probability, home win: 30 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 44 percent
Market probability, away win: 42 percent
—
Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Pro League results
- Oct 19Al-Shabab v Al-Faisaly2-2
- Oct 19Al-Hilal v Al-Hazem1-0
- Oct 19Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli2-3
- Oct 18Al-Fateh v Al-Khaleej2-3
- Oct 15Al-Khaleej v Al-Fayha2-0
- Oct 11Al-Shabab v Al-Taawoun3-0
- Oct 11Al-Fayha v Al-Riyadh1-1
- Oct 10Al-Hilal v Al-Ittihad3-2
- Oct 10Al-Ettifaq v Al-Khaleej1-1
- Oct 9Al-Fateh v Al-Ahli0-4
- Oct 9Al-Kholood v Al-Qadsiah0-5
- Sep 8Al-Qadsiah v Al-Ahli3-2
- Sep 8Al-Ittihad v Al-Fayha2-1
- Aug 21Al-Qadsiah v Al-Ittihad0-1
- Aug 15Al-Nassr v Al-Fateh3-0
- Aug 15Al-Ittihad v Al-Kholood1-1
- Aug 15Al-Taawoun v Al-Khaleej0-0
- Aug 14Al-Ettifaq v Al-Riyadh4-2
- Aug 14Neom SC v Al-Fayha2-1
- Aug 13Al-Shabab v Al-Qadsiah1-3
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
11
Spots
5
Graded here
21
last 90 days
Called right
62%
of 21
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Pro League
Favourite won
60%
Drawn
23%
Underdog won
17%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 230 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal | 9 | +20 | 24 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al-Ahli | 9 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Al-Ittihad | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Neom SC | 9 | +6 | 16 |
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