Serie B. The honest number.
Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.
Serie B · next 7
1
X
2
Price
Our probability, home win: 29 percent
Market probability, home win: 32 percent
Our probability, draw: 35 percent
Market probability, draw: 32 percent
Our probability, away win: 37 percent
Market probability, away win: 36 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 40 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 31 percent
Market probability, draw: 30 percent
Our probability, away win: 29 percent
Market probability, away win: 29 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 40 percent
Market probability, home win: 41 percent
Our probability, draw: 30 percent
Market probability, draw: 28 percent
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: 30 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 55 percent
Market probability, home win: 54 percent
Our probability, draw: 27 percent
Market probability, draw: 26 percent
Our probability, away win: 18 percent
Market probability, away win: 20 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 64 percent
Market probability, home win: 61 percent
Our probability, draw: 22 percent
Market probability, draw: 22 percent
Our probability, away win: 14 percent
Market probability, away win: 16 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 68 percent
Market probability, home win: 65 percent
Our probability, draw: 19 percent
Market probability, draw: 20 percent
Our probability, away win: 13 percent
Market probability, away win: 15 percent
—
Our probability, home win: 41 percent
Market probability, home win: 42 percent
Our probability, draw: 29 percent
Market probability, draw: 27 percent
Our probability, away win: 30 percent
Market probability, away win: 31 percent
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Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.
Recent Serie B results
- Oct 18Cesena v Avellino1-1
- Oct 18Juve Stabia v Südtirol3-0
- Oct 17Pisa v Cremonese3-1
- Oct 17Mantova v Palermo0-2
- Oct 17Carrarese v Modena2-1
- Oct 17Padova v Virtus Entella1-2
- Oct 16Hellas Verona v Catanzaro2-2
- Oct 11Modena v Hellas Verona3-2
- Oct 11Padova v Carrarese0-2
- Oct 11Catanzaro v Mantova1-3
- Oct 10Empoli v Palermo2-4
- Oct 10Virtus Entella v Juve Stabia1-1
- Oct 9Avellino v Sampdoria4-1
- Sep 20Modena v Empoli2-1
- Sep 20Mantova v Pisa2-2
- Sep 19Sampdoria v Catanzaro2-1
- Sep 19Palermo v Padova2-1
- Sep 19Cremonese v Virtus Entella0-0
- Sep 18Juve Stabia v Cesena1-1
- Sep 13Avellino v Palermo1-1
- Sep 13Mantova v Sampdoria2-0
- Sep 12Cesena v Cremonese2-2
- Sep 12Catanzaro v Carrarese1-0
- Sep 12Südtirol v Modena1-1
Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.
Fixtures priced
7
Spots
0
Graded here
44
last 90 days
Called right
43%
of 44
“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →
How the favourite fares in Serie B
Favourite won
51%
Drawn
28%
Underdog won
21%
The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 310 matches we priced.
Table · 2026/27
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Pisa | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Modena | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Südtirol | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 7 | +3 | 12 |
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