Super Lig. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    Super Lig · next 5

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor
    Likeliest: Alanyaspor win · 46%
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 46 percent
    Market probability, home win: 47 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 30 percent
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: 24 percent
    —
    Eyüpspor v Kasımpaşa
    Likeliest: Kasımpaşa win · 65%
    10:30spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 11 percent
    Market probability, home win: 16 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 23 percent
    Our probability, away win: 65 percent
    Market probability, away win: 61 percent
    —
    Gaziantep FK v Erzurumspor FK
    Likeliest: Gaziantep FK win · 40%
    13:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 40 percent
    Market probability, home win: 41 percent
    Our probability, draw: 35 percent
    Market probability, draw: 32 percent
    Our probability, away win: 26 percent
    Market probability, away win: 27 percent
    —
    Konyaspor v Gençlerbirliği
    Likeliest: Konyaspor win · 51%
    13:00
    Our probability, home win: 51 percent
    Market probability, home win: 51 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 21 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —
    Göztepe v Çorum FK
    Likeliest: Göztepe win · 43%
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 43 percent
    Market probability, home win: 43 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 31 percent
    Market probability, away win: 31 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent Super Lig results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    5
    Spots
    2
    Graded here
    57
    last 90 days
    Called right
    49%
    of 57

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    How the favourite fares in Super Lig
    Favourite won
    55%
    Drawn
    28%
    Underdog won
    17%

    The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 253 matches we priced.

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Galatasaray8+619
    2Amed Sportif Faaliyetler8+917
    3Fenerbahçe8+1616
    4Trabzonspor8+1316
    5Beşiktaş8+615
    6Çorum FK8+513
    Full table →
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