Superliga. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    Superliga · next 8

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    FC Botoșani v FC Petrolul Ploieşti
    Likeliest: FC Botoșani win · 50%
    15:00
    Our probability, home win: 50 percent
    Market probability, home win: 49 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: 24 percent
    —
    FC Corvinul Hunedoara v FC Universitatea Cluj
    Likeliest: FC Universitatea Cluj win · 40%
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 28 percent
    Market probability, home win: 31 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 30 percent
    Our probability, away win: 40 percent
    Market probability, away win: 39 percent
    —
    FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc v FC Voluntari
    Likeliest: FC Voluntari win · 36%
    12:30
    Our probability, home win: 33 percent
    Market probability, home win: 35 percent
    Our probability, draw: 32 percent
    Market probability, draw: 30 percent
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —
    Sepsi OSK v Universitatea Craiova
    Likeliest: Universitatea Craiova win · 61%
    13:00
    Our probability, home win: 13 percent
    Market probability, home win: 18 percent
    Our probability, draw: 26 percent
    Market probability, draw: 25 percent
    Our probability, away win: 61 percent
    Market probability, away win: 57 percent
    —
    FC Argeș Pitești v UTA Arad
    Likeliest: FC Argeș Pitești win · 42%
    15:00
    Our probability, home win: 42 percent
    Market probability, home win: 44 percent
    Our probability, draw: 33 percent
    Market probability, draw: 30 percent
    Our probability, away win: 25 percent
    Market probability, away win: 26 percent
    —
    FCSB v FC Rapid București
    Likeliest: FC Rapid București win · 36%
    18:00
    Our probability, home win: 34 percent
    Market probability, home win: 36 percent
    Our probability, draw: 30 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 36 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —
    FC Farul Constanța v SC Oțelul Galați
    Likeliest: FC Farul Constanța win · 52%
    14:00
    Our probability, home win: 52 percent
    Market probability, home win: 51 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 26 percent
    Our probability, away win: 20 percent
    Market probability, away win: 22 percent
    —
    CFR 1907 Cluj v FC Dinamo București
    Likeliest: FC Dinamo București win · 48%
    17:00
    Our probability, home win: 23 percent
    Market probability, home win: 27 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 27 percent
    Our probability, away win: 48 percent
    Market probability, away win: 46 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent Superliga results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    8
    Spots
    0
    Graded here
    42
    last 90 days
    Called right
    62%
    of 42

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    How the favourite fares in Superliga
    Favourite won
    56%
    Drawn
    23%
    Underdog won
    21%

    The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 227 matches we priced.

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1FC Dinamo București12+2029
    2FC Rapid București12+1127
    3Universitatea Craiova12+1826
    4FC Petrolul Ploieşti12-120
    5FC Universitatea Cluj12+219
    6FCSB12-218
    Full table →
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