Superliga. The honest number.

    Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

    Table →

    Superliga · next 7

    1
    X
    2
    Price
    FK Zemun v FK Mačva Šabac
    Likeliest: FK Mačva Šabac win · 42%
    16:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 30 percent
    Market probability, home win: 36 percent
    Our probability, draw: 28 percent
    Market probability, draw: 29 percent
    Our probability, away win: 42 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —
    FK Radnički Niš v FK Novi Pazar
    Likeliest: FK Radnički Niš win · 35%
    16:00
    Our probability, home win: 35 percent
    Market probability, home win: 38 percent
    Our probability, draw: 29 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 35 percent
    Market probability, away win: 33 percent
    —
    FK Radnički 1923 v FK Radnik Surdulica
    Likeliest: FK Radnički 1923 win · 56%
    16:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 56 percent
    Market probability, home win: 46 percent
    Our probability, draw: 23 percent
    Market probability, draw: 28 percent
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: 26 percent
    —
    FK IMT Beograd v FK Železničar Pančevo
    Likeliest: FK IMT Beograd win · 50%
    16:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 50 percent
    Market probability, home win: 35 percent
    Our probability, draw: 27 percent
    Market probability, draw: 29 percent
    Our probability, away win: 23 percent
    Market probability, away win: 35 percent
    —
    FK Partizan v FK Čukarički
    Likeliest: FK Partizan win · 57%
    14:00
    Our probability, home win: 57 percent
    Market probability, home win: 55 percent
    Our probability, draw: 22 percent
    Market probability, draw: 23 percent
    Our probability, away win: 22 percent
    Market probability, away win: 23 percent
    —
    FK Mladost Lučani v FK Vojvodina
    Likeliest: FK Vojvodina win · 64%
    16:00spot · away
    Our probability, home win: 12 percent
    Market probability, home win: 17 percent
    Our probability, draw: 24 percent
    Market probability, draw: 24 percent
    Our probability, away win: 64 percent
    Market probability, away win: 59 percent
    —
    OFK Beograd v FK Crvena zvezda
    Likeliest: FK Crvena zvezda win · 70%
    15:00spot · btts
    Our probability, home win: 12 percent
    Market probability, home win: 8 percent
    Our probability, draw: 18 percent
    Market probability, draw: 15 percent
    Our probability, away win: 70 percent
    Market probability, away win: 77 percent
    —

    Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

    Recent Superliga results

    Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

    Fixtures priced
    7
    Spots
    5
    Graded here
    27
    last 90 days
    Called right
    59%
    of 27

    “Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

    Table · 2026/27
    #TeamPGDPts
    1FK Crvena zvezda12+2834
    2FK Vojvodina12+1628
    3FK IMT Beograd12+721
    4FK Železničar Pančevo11+820
    5FK Radnički 192311+317
    6FK Radnik Surdulica12+117
    Full table →
    Read next