Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Nov 1 · 18:00 · Monaco vs Paris
Likeliest: Monaco win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Monaco46%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Paris28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Monaco
DrawDrawDrawWinWin
- Oct 29 · at Nantes (A)5-3
- Oct 25 · v Toulouse (H)1-0
- Oct 22 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)0-0
- Oct 18 · at Angers SCO (A)1-1
- Oct 5 · v Nice (H)2-2
Paris
DrawWinLossLossDraw
- Oct 29 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)3-3
- Oct 24 · v Nantes (H)1-2
- Oct 19 · at Lens (A)1-2
- Oct 3 · v Lorient (H)2-0
- Sep 28 · at Nice (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Monaco | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-4-0 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.