Ligue 1 (France) · Wed, Oct 29 · 20:05 · Paris vs Olympique Lyonnais
Likeliest: Paris win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Paris46%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Olympique Lyonnais27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Paris
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- Oct 24 · v Nantes (H)1-2
- Oct 19 · at Lens (A)1-2
- Oct 3 · v Lorient (H)2-0
- Sep 28 · at Nice (A)1-1
- Sep 21 · v Strasbourg (H)2-3
Olympique Lyonnais
WinLossLossWinWin
- Oct 26 · v Strasbourg (H)2-1
- Oct 23 · v Basel (H)2-0
- Oct 18 · at Nice (A)2-3
- Oct 5 · v Toulouse (H)1-2
- Oct 2 · v Salzburg (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Paris | Olympique Lyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 7-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 8-0-2 | 5-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.