Ligue 1 (France) · Fri, Nov 7 · 19:45 · Paris vs Rennes
Likeliest: Paris win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Paris46%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Rennes32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Paris
WinLossLossDrawWin
- Nov 1 · at Monaco (A)1-0
- Oct 29 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)3-3
- Oct 24 · v Nantes (H)1-2
- Oct 19 · at Lens (A)1-2
- Oct 3 · v Lorient (H)2-0
Rennes
DrawDrawLossDrawWin
- Nov 2 · v Strasbourg (H)4-1
- Oct 29 · at Toulouse (A)2-2
- Oct 26 · v Nice (H)1-2
- Oct 19 · v Auxerre (H)2-2
- Oct 5 · at Le Havre (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Paris | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 2-6-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.