PredictionPitch

Championship. The honest number.

Our probability next to the bookmakers', with their margin removed. Purple is where we differ by four points or more.

Championship · next 13

1

X

2

Price

Wolverhampton v Portsmouth

Likeliest: Wolverhampton win · 63%

18:45spot · under 2.5

63

61

22

22

15

17

—

Bolton Wanderers v Middlesbrough

Likeliest: Middlesbrough win · 61%

19:00

16

20

23

22

61

58

—

Portsmouth v Millwall

Likeliest: Millwall win · 35%

11:30

35

37

30

28

35

35

—

Charlton Athletic v Norwich City

Likeliest: Norwich City win · 47%

11:30

25

29

28

26

47

45

—

Sheffield United v Derby County

Likeliest: Sheffield United win · 52%

11:30

52

51

26

25

22

23

—

Lincoln City v Burnley

Likeliest: Burnley win · 43%

14:00

29

32

28

27

43

41

—

West Ham United v Southampton

Likeliest: West Ham United win · 58%

14:00

58

56

22

22

20

22

—

Blackburn Rovers v Wrexham

Likeliest: Wrexham win · 36%

14:00

32

35

32

29

36

36

—

Wolverhampton v Watford

Likeliest: Wolverhampton win · 72%

14:00

72

68

18

19

10

12

—

Queens Park Rangers v Swansea City

Likeliest: Queens Park Rangers win · 37%

14:00

37

39

29

28

34

33

—

Preston North End v West Bromwich Albion

Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 50%

14:00

22

26

28

27

50

48

—

Stoke City v Bristol City

Likeliest: Stoke City win · 40%

14:00

40

41

29

28

31

31

—

Cardiff City v Birmingham City

Likeliest: Birmingham City win · 39%

14:00

35

37

26

26

39

38

—

Big number is ours, small is the market. The price is the best one we can point at; a dash means no partner covers it in your country.

Recent Championship results

Every match here was priced before kick-off and graded after it. Open one to see the number we published and how it did.

Fixtures priced

13

Spots

1

Graded here

131

last 90 days

Called right

42%

of 131

“Called right” is the share of our graded calls in this league that came in over the last 90 days — a blunt measure, and a small sample in most leagues. The full record, scored properly →

How the favourite fares in Championship

Favourite won

47%

Drawn

27%

Underdog won

27%

The favourite is the side the bookmakers priced shorter. Last 12 months, 503 matches we priced.

Table · 2026/27

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Swansea City	11	+8	23
2	West Ham United	11	+18	22
3	Southampton	11	+11	21
4	Birmingham City	11	+9	20
5	Middlesbrough	11	+5	20
6	West Bromwich Albion	11	+3	20

Read next

What 1X2 actually means Over/under 2.5 goals, explained How we produce these numbers Our record, graded in public